Affective decision making under uncertainty during a plausible aviation task: An fMRI study

Affective decision making under uncertainty during a plausible aviation task: An fMRI study

In aeronautics, plan continuation error (PCE) represents failure to revise a flight plan despite emerging evidence suggesting that it is no longer safe. Assuming that PCE may be associated with a shift from cold to hot reasoning, we hypothesized that this transition may result from a large range of strong negative emotional influences linked with the decision to abort a landing and circle for a...

The In-flight Affective Brain: Decision Making under Uncertainty and Safety Implications in Aviation

Understanding the relation between motivation and pilot impulsive decision-making is extremely important in the context of aviation human factors. One way to operationalize motivation is by presenting participants with different reinforces, either primary (e.g. food rewards) or secondary (e.g. financial incentives, arguably playing a crucial role in in-flight decision-making). To establish the ...

Decision making under uncertainty

Decision making under uncertainty

1 Laboratory of Computational Neuroscience, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland 2 Laboratoire de Recherché en Neuroimagerie, Le Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois, Lausanne, Switzerland 3 Information Processing and Economic Decision Making, Department of Psychology, Universität Konstanz, Konstanz, Germany 4 Economic Psychology, Department of Psychology, Univers...

Decision Making under Extreme Uncertainty

Beliefs about an unknown distribution can be defined as a measure on the space of probability density functions. This paper (1) characterizes the set of beliefs that satisfy invariance postulates (2) establishes that updating invariant beliefs leads to a posterior distribution with tail asymptotically approaching 1 x(lnx)n . Note to seminar participant at Wharton: Part I of this paper is primar...